Ljubljana · statistics · networks · humans

I find
patterns
in messy things.

I’m Marjan Cugmas — statistician, researcher and university teacher. I work at the intersection of statistical methodology and social science, with a particular weakness for networks, clusters, models and charts that make a complicated idea suddenly click.

Portrait of Marjan Cugmas
marjan@ljubljana:~$ whoami
statistician / researcher / teacher

marjan@ljubljana:~$ research --focus
multivariate analysis · generalized linear models · network analysis · survey methodology · data visualisation

marjan@ljubljana:~$ research --focus
social support networks · scientific collaboration
online counselling services · statistical methods

marjan@ljubljana:~$ coffee
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marjan@ljubljana:~$ status
curious
01 / about

Quantitative brain.
Analog soul.

A / 01

Research

I like methods that reveal structure: clusters, network positions, latent dimensions, regressions and models that preserve the complexity of social phenomena without turning them into unreadable machinery.

A / 02

Teaching

I teach statistics at the University of Ljubljana and spend a suspicious amount of time thinking about how to make difficult ideas visually obvious rather than merely technically correct.

A / 03

Making things

R packages, dashboards, automatically generated reports, slides, tattoo sketches, tiny web experiments and photo archives. I like analysis most when it becomes something tangible.

Always looking for patterns in everyday life — combining and comparing them is one way of learning about the world.
02 / work + education

A statistician
in social science.

My work revolves around the structure behind data: how observations group together, how people are connected, how systems change through time, and how statistical methods can help us ask better questions about those patterns.

2019—now

Assistant Professor

University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Social Sciences.

2015—2019

Young Researcher

University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Social Sciences.

2012—2015

Research + analysis

Research and analytics roles at the University of Ljubljana and the National Institute of Public Health.

Education
PhD · 2019

Statistics

University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Social Sciences.

MA · 2015

Applied Statistics

University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Electrical Engineering.

BA · 2013

Social Informatics

University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Social Sciences.

Selected recognition
2023University of Ljubljana Honorary Certificate for Outstanding Pedagogical, Research and Artistic Achievements.
2020Klemen Pavlič Young Statistician Award, Statistical Society of Slovenia.
20172nd Best Poster Award, Statistical Society of Slovenia.
2016Award for outstanding achievement upon completion of the master’s programme.
03 / research

The recurring
questions.

The topics change, but the basic obsession stays fairly constant: what local processes create the larger structure we observe, and how can we measure that structure well?

Social support networks

Who has access to support, who becomes vulnerable, and how support networks shift under major disruptions such as the COVID-19 pandemic.

Scientific collaboration

Longitudinal patterns of collaboration among researchers, doctoral students and mentors, from individual ties to national and European structures.

Online counselling + health communities

Survey methodology, text mining, machine learning and network analysis applied to large-scale online health and counselling data.

Local mechanisms → global network structure

Coleman’s macro–micro–macro model, network evolution, blockmodeling and the connection between local mechanisms and large-scale structure.

Statistical methodology

Developing and evaluating approaches blockmodeling and for partition comparison.

Statistical software

R packages, Shiny dashboards, reproducible reporting and tools that convert statistical work into usable systems.

04 / projects

Research that
became a thing.

2024— / HEALTH

JACARDI

JACARDI is the Joint Action of the European Union that supports European countries in reducing the burden of cardiovascular diseases and diabetes, at both individual and health system levels.

Visit JACARDI ↗
2021—2024 / SCIENCE

Mentors + mentees

Research on mentoring relationships and the dynamics of scientific collaboration, following how doctoral collaborations develop through time.

Project record ↗
2020—2023 / NETWORKS

Dynamic blockmodeling

Comparison and evaluation of approaches to blockmodeling dynamic networks, including Monte Carlo simulation studies.

Project record ↗
2026 / PUBLIC HEALTH DASHBOARD

TSJ Dashboard

An interactive web application for real-time analysis and visualization of questions and counsellors’ answers in the Slovenian online counselling service This is me, including exportable aggregated and micro-level data.

2021 / TEXT ANALYSIS

Twenty years of questions

Analysis of two decades of counselling questions, combining hand-coded material with supervised machine learning to reconstruct content labels for earlier years.

2021 / MACHINE LEARNING

Cancer-related messages

Machine-learning identification of cancer-related posts in a large online health community. The best-performing random-forest model reached 92% sensitivity and 89% specificity.

Selected supervision + statistical consulting

A few recent student projects where methodological guidance became part of the research story.

The influence of social support and engagement in the online counselling service This is me on empowerment and psychological well-being

Timotej Lenič · Master’s thesis

mentor

Characteristics and methods of searching for online health-related information and their association with e-health literacy and sociodemographic factors among adults in Slovenia

Žiga Rebovšek · Master’s thesis

co-mentor

Identification of autistic children with machine learning

Eva Gaberšek · Master’s thesis

mentor

Linguistic analysis of suicide-related questions in the online counselling service This is me

Vili Smolič · Master’s thesis

mentor

Multiple Testing Corrections: Case of Emissions Coupons’ Price Movements

Anja Ž. Kunaver · Master’s thesis

co-mentor
Sunday projects / because apparently resting is optional
WEATHER

Weather Outlier

A Shiny dashboard built because ordinary weather portals never showed quite the right things — especially how current and forecast weather compare with what is typical.

80s TERMINAL

Weather Outlier Terminal

An 80s-inspired terminal simulator born after a visit to the Slovenian Technical Museum depots in Pivka, created as a one-Sunday experiment with ChatGPT.

R + PUZZLES

Crossword generator

Custom R code for building the annual Festive Stats Puzzle for Social Informatics students — because the free crossword software was not good enough.

See the work around the work.

The research gallery brings together conferences, teaching, collaborations, milestones and selected posters.

05 / videos

Research
in motion.

ThE short films that explain the people, questions and practical value behind the research — without requiring anyone to begin with the methods section.

COSTNETSocial support

Can we improve social support for the elderly during COVID-19?

Research identifying groups of older adults with insufficient support and the implications for care and crisis planning.

Marjan Cugmas · Anuška Ferligoj
University of LjubljanaStudy statistics

Statistics: doctoral degree programme

A concise introduction to the doctoral programme and the range of specializations available within statistics.

Marjan Cugmas · Anuška Ferligoj · Bor Vratanar
06 / toolbox

The things usually
open on my screen.

R Pajek SPSS 1KA Affinity Microsoft Office LaTeX R Markdown Knitr Shiny Dashboard HTML CSS
author / co-creator
nemBM

Tools for network-evolution models and blockmodeling, including generation of temporal networks under selected local mechanisms.

author / creator
mri

Measures for comparing partitions defined over overlapping, but not necessarily identical, sets of units.

co-author / co-creator
multiUS

Multivariate-analysis functions developed primarily for teaching applied statistics.

contributor
dBlockmodeling

Blockmodeling for signed, valued, one-mode and two-mode networks.

author / creator
handyReport

Utilities for summary tables and selected statistical tests.

author / creator
ggthemeUL

ggplot2 helpers for charts aligned with the University of Ljubljana visual identity.

07 / teaching

Statistics should
be understandable.

Recent teaching spans applied statistics, data visualisation and network methodology.

COURSE

Making Data Work: Visualization for Insight and Impact

Turning data into graphics that support exploration, explanation and better decisions.

Ljubljana Summer School · 2026
COURSE

Generalized Linear Models

From binary and count outcomes to interactions, interpretation and model diagnostics.

University of Ljubljana · Applied Statistics MA · 2024–2025
COURSE

Data Visualization + Explorative Data Analysis

Using graphics not as decoration, but as a way to think, diagnose and communicate.

University of Ljubljana · Social Informatics MA · 2022–2025
COURSE

Foundations of Data Analytics

Building a statistical mindset before the toolbox gets too large.

University of Ljubljana · Social Informatics MA · 2021–2025
COURSE

Multivariate Analysis

Factor structure, classification, dimensions and patterns across many variables.

University of Ljubljana · multiple programmes · 2016–2025
WORKSHOP

Unlock Hidden Patterns in Your Data

Cluster and factor analysis with R, taught as practical tools for revealing structure.

Infra4NextGen project · 2025
WORKSHOP

Generalized blockmodeling in R

Hands-on teaching at European network conferences and summer schools.

EUSN + Applied Statistics Conference + SNA Summer School · 2021–2023
WORKSHOP

Introduction to the Use of R

A practical introduction to working, analysing and thinking with R.

ECPR Summer School · University of Ljubljana · 2015
08 / selected publications

A few papers
from the shelf.

Not the whole bibliography — just a cross-section showing the thopics that keep reappearing.

2025

Bridging borders or widening gaps? The dynamics of European scientific collaboration networks

Scientometrics · with Anuška Ferligoj, Vladimir Batagelj and Franc Mali.

NETWORKS
2024

Longitudinal patterns of scientific collaboration in doctoral studies

Scientometrics · with Franc Mali and Luka Kronegger.

COLLABORATION
2023

The quality of informational social support in online health communities

Digital Health · content analysis of cancer-related discussions.

HEALTH
2022

Approaches to blockmodeling dynamic networks: A Monte Carlo simulation study

Social Networks · with Aleš Žiberna.

METHODS
2021

The Relative Fit measure for evaluating a blockmodel

Statistical Methods & Applications · with Aleš Žiberna and Anuška Ferligoj.

METHODS
2021

Global structures and local network mechanisms of knowledge-flow networks

PLOS ONE · connecting local network mechanisms with global blockmodel structure.

NETWORKS
Want the serious bibliography?

Browse the complete publication archive and open the highlighted conference presentations directly.

Full publications →
09 / off hours

There is life
outside the model.

Old-school things, new obsessions.

I’m into 80s aesthetics, analog photography, old electronics, traditional tattoo art, books, hiking, weather and the strange satisfaction of using an object that has more character than efficiency.

📚ReadingPlot + character, ideally with a hook.
✒️Tattoo drawingTraditional American flash, markers, bold lines, zero minimalism.
📷Analog-ishKodak camera, family photo archives and the joy of imperfect pictures.
🌦️WeatherForecasts, climatology, radar and occasionally building the weather portal instead of using one.
10 / contact

Let’s compare
notes.

A question, collaboration or a good reason to get coffee?

Get in touch about statistical methodology, social networks, research collaboration, teaching or a project idea.

InstitutionFaculty of Social Sciences, University of Ljubljana
AddressKardeljeva ploščad 5
1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia